Elizabeth Dole 51
Kay Hagan 37

These are the numbers according to Public Policy Polling.

Pollsters say Hagan’s problems lie in securing the black vote.

“Right now she leads Dole just 52-28 with them, and the 20 percent of African American voters who report being undecided is higher than almost any other demographic.”

In addition, the pollsters say, “Hagan is also trailing 45-32 with independents even as Obama leads them 43-31. That’s an indication some mass of folks are voting an Obama/Dole ticket, and she’ll need to convince them otherwise.”