By Billy House and Sean Mussenden
Media General News Service
WASHINGTON — He’s at the start of his first term, riding high in public approval ratings, supported by Congress’ Democratic leaders, and fresh out-of-the-gate with legislative victories.
But President Barack Obama also remains cursed with a worsening economy, a need to hold to a tight federal budget, and public anxiousness about two ongoing wars.
With Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid perched behind him, Obama on Tuesday will give his first presidential address to a joint session of Congress.
The speech is not technically a “State of the Union Address” because it is Obama’s first year in the White House, says Ross Baker, a Rutgers University political scientist.
“Still, it’s sort of the season for a State of the Union. And given the gravity of the economy, in particular, I think people will be hanging on every word,” Ross said.
Even as Obama is expected in his nationally televised speech to underscore the severity of the nation’s economic crisis, he will also set the stage for his first proposed federal budget to be outlined to Congress later in the week.
Obama’s administration is not yet prepared to submit a fully detailed budget, which will come in the spring.
But what he will mention Tuesday, and unveil on Thursday, is a framework of his spending priorities and broad funding levels for programs, and the gap he anticipates between the government’s projected spending and revenues.
One Washington think-tank, the Brookings Institution, has issued a report projecting the national deficit will average at least $1 trillion per year for the 10 years after 2009, even if the economy returns to full employment, and that the longer-range picture is even bleaker.
So far, Obama has not needed much Republican support in a Democratic-controlled Congress to get his earliest legislative priorities through, a veritable spending spree in the form of an expansion of health insurance for poor children and a $787 billion economic stimulus package.
But with such huge and long-term budget-deficit projections — things could now get much tougher for the president to muster the congressional votes needed to accomplish some of his prominent campaign promises, such as expanding health-care coverage for the uninsured.
One important thing to watch Tuesday night will be the reaction of Republicans to what Obama lays out in his speech, say non-partisan political analysts.
“I expect (Obama) will use the speech to continue to advance the objective of addressing the most serious economic and financial crisis since the Great Depression,” said Thomas Mann, a Brookings congressional expert.
“He will likely present a very sober assessment of the problem and the extended time it will take to recover from it,” Mann said. “And he will urge Republicans to work with him and the Democrats to do what must be done to avoid a global economic catastrophe.”
Rep. Virginia Foxx, R-N.C., said she hoped Obama would avoid words like crisis or catastrophe when talking about the state of the economy.
“We keep hearing it’s a catastrophe, a crisis, it’s all negative. I fear that his continual talking down of the economy down is really doing damage, because people won’t spend. They’re scared to,” she said.
Rep. Mel Watt, D-N.C., said he expects Obama to use the speech to “rally the forces in a difficult time for the economy, and tell us to hang in there and be willing to sacrifice.”
A spokeswoman for Sen. Kay Hagan, D-N.C., said Hagan was “very much looking to hear how President Obama squares the numerous, necessary and needed changes in our country with the leadership and hopefulness so many North Carolinians and Americans are looking for.”
