Voting | Politics.MyNC.com - Part 2

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Could Voting Meltdown History Repeat Itself?

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In 2000, the presidential election was marred by hanging chads in Florida. Four years later, it was malfunctioning machines in Ohio. With record numbers of voters expected yet again, the fundamental question remains whether the country’s embattled election machinery will stand up to the pressure.
  
This year’s unprecedented primary turnout has already exposed cracks in the infrastructure. In Texas, lines stretched for hours and ballots ran out. Voters in Virginia were told to submit slips of paper – which were later disqualified – when ballot deliveries didn’t arrive, and overwhelmed poll workers in Washington, D.C., hid electronic machines because they were afraid of the contraptions.

“Right now, election officials probably identify with Sheriff Brody in ‘Jaws,’ who having seen the great white shark for the first time turns to his fellow passengers and remarks, ‘We’re gonna need a bigger boat,”‘ electionline.org director Doug Chapin said in a recent study of voting problems.

Primary turnout broke records across the country – in Delaware and the District of Columbia, the number of voters tripled from 2000; in Florida that figured doubled. The only state with less than 50 percent turnout was New Hampshire, which lost some of its luster as the first primary state when most of the country moved
theirs to early in the year.
 
Though nearly all election officials have taken extra precautions for Tuesday – some have ordered a paper ballot for every registered voter as well as increasing the number of electronic machines – substantial fear remains that polling places won’t be able to stand up to millions of voters who want to choose between Democrat Barack Obama, who could become the first black president in American history, and Republican John McCain.

“The ultimate test of democracy is full voter participation,” said NAACP president Ben Jealous. “States are not completely grasping what they’re in for. In Virginia, the governor won’t even agree to printing out additional paper ballots. Even though they started passing out sheets of paper during the primary because they ran out of ballots.”

Foreshadowing what could be a litigious ending to this year’s election, the NAACP filed a federal lawsuit in Virginia, demanding more electronic machines in minority neighborhoods, and extra paper ballots in case those machines are tied up by record turnout. A judge denied the request Monday following a hearing.

State Republicans had contended that changing voting procedures this late in the game could disadvantage their candidates.
 
Democratic Gov. Timothy M. Kaine, an Obama supporter, says the added precautions aren’t necessary. “We feel confident that we’ll be prepared,” said gubernatorial spokeswoman Delacey Skinner. “I think that voters who are going to the polls on election day should go early and be prepared for the line, but we’re not anticipating any kind of major problems.”

Major voting problems disrupted the 2000 presidential election when poorly punched ballots, which resulted in hanging chads, and huge turnouts ignited a volatile, weekslong recount that ended with a ruling by the U.S. Supreme Court. In 2004, lines that stretched 14 hours long and malfunctioning electronic machines created havoc in Ohio, which eventually gave George W. Bush a second term by a margin of about 119,000 votes.

In the past eight years, with money appropriated by Congress, local election officials across the country have changed their voting systems – and changed them again when highly touted electronic voting machines were shown to be vulnerable to hacking and malfunctioning.

On Tuesday, nearly half the country will be casting ballots on a new system, the majority of them using paper cards read by optical scanners.
 
But it is not the machines that most worry voting advocates. It’s the number of people using them.
 
Already, early voting in states including Florida and Georgia drew crowds that waited for hours and prompted people to bring lawn chairs, and poll workers to hand out bottled water. In Colorado, more than 50 percent of registered voters cast ballots early.

“Suppose Tuesday comes and goes and there’s allegations that tens of thousands of people went to vote and were unable to cast a ballot and went home,” said Edward B. Foley, a law professor at Ohio State University who specializes in voting litigation. “There’s the claim of disenfranchisement but no way to prove it. That would be extraordinarily undesirable.”

When it comes to election lawsuits, and there have been scores filed since the 2000 meltdown, the most likely litigious issue in this election is provisional ballots.

They were introduced in 2003 as part of the Help America Vote Act, a far-ranging reform of election systems and voting laws designed to avoid a repeat of Florida’s disaster. People at the polls who believe they have been wrongly denied the right to vote – people whose names don’t show up on registration lists, for example – have the right to cast provisional ballots.
 
But rules about counting those ballots sharply differ from state to state, creating confusion and prompting about 20 lawsuits in the past five years, Foley said. In several states, provisional ballots not cast in the proper precinct are thrown out.

With an unprecedented number of voters expected on Tuesday – many of them newly registered, raising the possibility that their names didn’t make it onto registration lists – Foley said the provisional ballot may be the hanging chad of 2008.

“They’re an insurance policy for voters against wrongful removal from the polls,” he said. “But it’s a ballot with a question mark on it. Most states have not created uniform rules for counting them.”

Early Voting Hours Extended In Some Counties

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RALEIGH, N.C. – Some area counties have extended early voting hours Saturday to accommodate long lines and high turnout during the early voting period.The State Board of Elections has ordered all 100 counties in North Carolina to keep early voting sites open for an extra four hours this weekend unless local officials unanimously decide it is unnecessary.   

Polls statewide are scheduled to close at 1 p.m., but may be extended to 5 p.m. per the state board of election’s orders.

In our area: Wake, Durham, Johnston, Chatham and Cumberland Counties have extended early voting hours. Orange County voting locations will close at 1 p.m.


More than 1.7 million people – or 30 percent of registered voters – cast a ballot at one-stop sites through Wednesday night.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Durham On Track To Make Election History

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By Josh Green, NBC17 Reporter

DURHAM, N.C. — Ebony Ford was 20 in 2004, plenty old enough to vote. But she didn’t.

“I thought it meant nothing,” she said as she left Durham’s Board of Elections for the first time this week. “This year … it’s a big difference: different senators, different options.”

Read Full Story

Florida Again Has Key Role In Election

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It’s happening again. We knew it would.

As the presidential race narrows to a handful of states where the two candidates are clawing to get over the top, Florida would be each man’s top prize. And the Tampa Bay area is their key to Florida.

As in 2000 and 2004, the race here has exploded in a welter of television ads, “robocalls,” visiting celebrities and mega-rallies.

The result, according to experts, political insiders and a rash of conflicting polls, is a race in Florida that’s simply too close to call. Either candidate could win.

But for John McCain and Barack Obama, a win would have drastically different meanings.

Obama can win the presidency in Florida, but he can’t lose it here.

McCain can lose the presidency in Florida, but he can’t win it here.

That’s because for McCain, Florida is a must-win. The arithmetic of the Electoral College and the states where the two are competing mean McCain can’t reach a majority without Florida’s 27 electoral votes.

“If Obama wins Florida, we’ll all go to bed early on election night,” said veteran political scientist Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia.

But even if McCain scores a victory in Florida, as his supporters say they are confident he will, he must win other contested battleground states to become president.

Unfortunately for McCain, those are all states that President Bush won in 2004 but that Obama is now leading, tied or close.

Besides the largest battleground, Florida, Sabato listed Ohio, Virginia and Colorado, all with Obama leads, and North Carolina, Indiana, Nevada, Montana and North Dakota, where polls generally show tossups.

That means Obama is on offense, threatening to take back Republican-leaning states. McCain is on defense in a war being fought on what should be his turf.

“Obama doesn’t need Florida – he’s got so many advantages now,” Sabato said. “A chance of carrying both Montana and North Dakota, both strong red states, and a tie in Indiana, where Bush won by 27 points in ‘04.”
Nonetheless, Obama has been drastically outspending McCain in Florida on television advertising, and equaling or exceeding him in personal appearances.

Obama; his wife, Michelle; Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton; and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson barnstormed Florida for the first three days of last week to urge early voting.

McCain answered with two stops in Florida on Thursday, plus tours by daughter Meghan McCain and Sen. Joe Lieberman.

With a significant Electoral College lead in state-by-state polls, Obama has the luxury of campaigning where he wants, but McCain must keep one foot planted in Florida and pivot to other states.

McCain has been promising supporters he would bring his Florida TV spending up to parity. Brian Ballard, his state co-chairman, expected near-equality by last week.

But for the seven days ending Tuesday, Obama spent $4.3 million to McCain’s $1.1 million plus another $400,000 spent on McCain’s behalf by the national Republican Party, said Evan Tracey of the Campaign Media Analysis Group, which tracks political spending.

The Nielsen Co., which tracks numbers of political spots, showed a 3-to-1 advantage for Obama through Wednesday.

Obama will appear at a rally with Bill Clinton in Orlando on Wednesday. Sarah Palin was in Tampa and Kissimmee on Sunday, and Joe Biden is to appear in New Port Richey on Monday, following the visit of his wife, Jill, to Tampa on Saturday. McCain’s wife, Cindy, and Rudy Giuliani were in West Palm Beach Sunday.
McCain, many experts say, should not be in danger of losing Florida.

After Obama and other Democratic candidates boycotted the state’s Jan. 29 primary and Obama didn’t set up a campaign organization until summer, many insiders expected a relatively easy McCain win.

McCain also had the support of Gov. Charlie Crist, whose endorsement helped him win the Florida primary. Crist promised to deliver the state for McCain.

The governor may still keep that promise. But since McCain picked Palin as his running mate, disappointing Crist, there have been questions about whether Crist has been campaigning wholeheartedly for McCain. The governor contends he has.

No one denies there has been tension and disagreement between the state party and the McCain campaign about who should run the show.

There’s also disagreement among recent polls.

Some show McCain coming back from a deficit early in the month to lead by a percentage point or two, statistical ties. But a few have shown Obama with leads of 5 to 7 percentage points.

“Some of these pollsters are going to look smart and some stupid on Election Day,” Sabato said.

Even some veteran Florida political operatives are mystified.

“Bizarre numbers,” said longtime GOP strategist Cory Tilley. “You just have to come to one conclusion: It’s close – probably close to the margin of error.”

Ballard said private polls he has seen convince him McCain is slightly ahead.

Democratic pollster Jim Kitchens offered an explanation for the mixed results: Pollsters don’t know how to account for the large numbers of new voters, mostly young people and minorities, that Obama’s campaign has registered.

Pollsters “weight” their samples, counting some responses more, to make up for underrepresented demographic groups. Some pollsters may be weighting young and minority respondents to take account of the new registrants.

But will those traditionally low-turnout minorities and young people show up to vote, proving the polls accurate?

“Ain’t that the question?” Kitchens said. “I think it’s close, but Obama has a bit of an edge.”

Tilley said the election “will come down to who has the best organization, who can motivate their base, turn out their voters and sway those undecideds.

“The good news on the Republican side is we’ve proven we do that pretty well,” he said.

But Tallahassee City Council member Allan Katz, an early Obama supporter, said the Obama campaign has changed the dynamics of Florida politics with its thousands of new registrants and by putting together the kind of turnout organization Florida Republicans have long had but Democrats never did.

“We have a very good chance of carrying Florida,” he said.

Judging by where he’s putting his money and his time, one person who believes him is Barack Obama.

Wake BOE: More Than 50,000 Have Voted Early Or By Mail

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RALEIGH, N.C. — According to an update released by the Wake County Board of Elections, employees there have finished processing new or change address applications that were submitted by the Oct. 10 deadline. More than 40,000 applications have been processed since the beginning of October.

With those added, Wake County now has 584,978 registered voters – 248,731 registered with the Democratic Party; 182,705 registered with the Republican Party, 426 registered with the Libertarian Party and 153,115 registered as Unaffiliated.  

The Elections Office has processed 22,484 civilian absentee ballot requests, 637 military and 1,079 overseas requests. They continue to receive more than 1,000 requests a day for absentee ballots by mail.  The deadline to request an absentee ballot by mail is 5 p.m. on Oct. 28.

Ten early voting sites opened Oct. 23 and all sites will remain open until 1 p.m. on Saturday, Nov. 1. Information on early voting locations, dates and times can be found at www.wakevotesearly.com.

Voters can also check their voter registration information and print a copy of their sample ballot. As of the end of voting Oct. 23, 48,566 voters participated in early voting.

Early Voting Glitches In Georgia, Tennessee

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ATLANTA, Ga. – Election officials in at least two states are trying to deal with early voting glitches.

In one Tennessee county, some voters were given ballots for the wrong state House district. The Sullivan County Administrator tells the Kingsport Times-News that a few voters caught the mistake and were given correct ballots, but a couple of others called later after realizing they had cast the wrong ones.

Meanwhile, in Georgia, officials tell the Gwinnet Daily post that the ovals where voters are supposed to mark their choices are too thick for optical scanning machines to read. The county has reprinted 19,000 ballots to fix the problem. They say at least 10,000 absentee ballots already turned in will have to be hand-counted.

What’s This Whole Deal About A President Six-Pack?

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TAMPA — Sherrie Candelaria, a PTA president and mother of five from Wesley Chapel, is dead set on voting for Sarah Palin, a former PTA president and mother of five from Alaska.

Palin’s a hockey mom, Candelaria, a volleyball mom.

“She even has the same anniversary date,” Candelaria said.

The similarities aren’t the only reason Candelaria likes the McCain/Palin ticket, but they help.

“You can relate to that type of person,” she said. “It’s almost like your best friend next door.”

But should your best friend next door be president?

It’s common for candidates for president to proclaim that they’re ordinary people who think just like us. But should extraordinary responsibilities be borne by an ordinary person?

In fact, political experts say, voters demand from presidential candidates something that seems impossible: An uncommon person who talks, acts and assures us that he or she is, in fact, common.

“There are many contradictions in politics,” said Texas A&M University political scientist George Edwards, who has long studied and researched the history of the presidency. “This is one of them.”

In Palin, America is seeing another in a long line of candidates for the White House who assert the superiority of the ordinary.

“You know what? It’s time that normal Joe Six-pack American is finally represented in the position of vice presidency,” Palin told conservative talk-show host Hugh Hewitt last month.

Palin said her intent to provide that representation has “ticked off” elitists and Washington insiders who run the government, and don’t want to see it “put back on the side of the people, of Joe Six-pack, like me.”

But, Edwards noted, understanding ordinary people’s problems doesn’t necessarily mean being capable of solving them.

“Just because I can feel your pain,” he said, “doesn’t make me a superb physician.”

Obama campaign Florida director Steve Schale said in a time of crisis, voters will look for more than a Joe Six-pack appeal.

“This is a ‘fundamentals’ election, not a ‘who-do-you-want-to-have-a-beer-with’ election,” he said.

Bruce Buchanan, a political scientist who studies the presidency at the University of Texas, said Americans want unusually capable, intelligent people for the nation’s highest office, but they’re conflicted about that desire.

“We have kind of an anti-intellectual tradition in American life,” and a tradition of populism that usually springs from a sense of economic injustice, Buchanan said. “Voters want some betterness, but wrapped up in a package that makes you seem like ordinary folks.”

Candidates “must establish emotional rapport with voters, most of whom are ordinary people,” Buchanan said.

The result: While history is full of candidates claiming to be ordinary, few actually were.
President Bush, for example.

“His early appeal was that he’d be good to have a beer with, he talks sort of like I do,” Buchanan said. “But he went to Yale and Harvard and benefitted from a privileged social and economic position at every turn of his life.”

Most experts cite Harry Truman as the closest to a truly ordinary guy to make it to the presidency. But he wasn’t entirely ordinary, and he took an almost accidental path to the nation’s highest office.

A farmer and haberdashery owner, Truman got involved in local politics after serving in World War I, ultimately reaching the U.S. Senate. But he didn’t start from scratch — he came from a prosperous family and had a strong war record, plus the backing of a powerful political machine.

Many — maybe even Truman himself — were surprised when he was picked to replace Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s running mate in 1944. That led to Truman’s own widely admired presidency.

But by the time Roosevelt chose him, Truman had already been a senator and Washington insider for 10 years, and a county administrator for 12 years before that.

One of the most famous political appeals to ordinariness in U.S. history came not in a presidential race but a battle over a nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court, a job seemingly even more dependent on strong intellectual ability.

In 1970, Democrats said G. Harrold Carswell, a Tallahassee federal judge nominated by Richard Nixon, was chosen for political reasons and was “mediocre.”

The late Sen. Roman Hruska, R-Neb., replied, “Even if he is mediocre, there are a lot of mediocre judges and people and lawyers. They are entitled to a little representation, aren’t they?”

“We can’t have all Brandeises, Cardozos and Frankfurters,” he went on — a reference to three of history’s most brilliant justices.

That argument didn’t save Carswell’s nomination.

New Horizon Students Vote For The Future

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By Paul Matadeen, NBC17 Reporter

DURHAM, N.C. — They walked about two blocks from the classroom to the precinct.

On Wednesday morning, eight students and staff members from New Horizon School voted for president as part of Durham County’s early voting process.

More Early Voting Sites Open Thursday

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More early voting locations will be open Thursday.

Early voting began Oct. 16, but not all early voting sites were opened that day.  If you have not registered to vote, you can register and vote in the same day during One-Stop Voting. If you are already registered, you can vote early at one of several locations in your county.

Voters have already turned out in droves at area locations. Wake County expanding its early voting locations Monday to ease long lines at voting sites. They opened four extra sites early to accommodate the crowds.

Find An Early Voting Location

Some early voting numbers:

Durham – Turnout Tuesday was 5,299 for a total so far of 29,328

Cumberland – Turnout Tuesday was about 4,846 and overall about 23,518 people have voted.

Orange – Turnout Tuesday was 3,308 for an overall total of 15,652.

Early voting ends Nov. 1.

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